Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 1.039060 1.178977 1.331455 1.510074 1.713732 1.938884 2.206925
2026-01-04 0.802998 0.988152 1.207400 1.486668 1.833686 2.251704 2.794986
2026-01-11 0.694400 0.903857 1.166587 1.521376 1.989653 2.588922 3.417806
2026-01-18 0.607915 0.828059 1.117390 1.527143 2.095312 2.859433 3.972032
2026-01-25 0.533145 0.755003 1.058493 1.506265 2.154164 3.063807 4.448806
2026-02-01 0.469126 0.687576 0.997179 1.470894 2.182832 3.221543 4.867688
2026-02-08 0.415965 0.628908 0.940547 1.433396 2.200123 3.358708 5.263451
2026-02-15 0.384030 0.597782 0.920161 1.446089 2.291362 3.611691 5.859173
2026-02-22 0.352082 0.562990 0.890053 1.439217 2.348942 3.814494 6.391528
2026-03-01 0.321757 0.527555 0.855083 1.420043 2.382846 3.979518 6.874294
2026-03-08 0.288020 0.483282 0.801577 1.364469 2.349294 4.027054 7.156718
2026-03-15 0.265830 0.456159 0.773716 1.349086 2.381861 4.188179 7.652900
2026-03-22 0.251696 0.443831 0.773599 1.389025 2.528808 4.587484 8.673696
2026-03-29 0.228354 0.413502 0.740172 1.367701 2.566103 4.800185 9.386599
2026-04-05 0.215631 0.400745 0.736314 1.399523 2.704907 5.215569 10.544692
2026-04-12 0.200702 0.382207 0.719705 1.404811 2.792277 5.540714 11.562050
2026-04-19 0.184384 0.359268 0.692319 1.385668 2.828130 5.766407 12.399805
2026-04-26 0.168323 0.335167 0.660191 1.353235 2.832474 5.926971 13.116434
2026-05-03 0.153773 0.312619 0.628854 1.318848 2.828310 6.068079 13.806588
2026-05-10 0.145341 0.301716 0.619912 1.330489 2.924176 6.434738 15.059329
2026-05-17 0.135956 0.287889 0.603539 1.324186 2.979314 6.716865 16.149938
2026-05-24 0.126422 0.272824 0.583089 1.306602 3.006635 6.938309 17.122361
2026-05-31 0.114970 0.252514 0.549440 1.255632 2.950607 6.958910 17.596792